Peak Oil News: Oil expert sees us running on empty

Wednesday, September 15, 2004

Oil expert sees us running on empty

Thanks to Charley, Frances and probably Ivan, people across Florida are getting an idea of what it's like to be in the midst of a gas shortage.

The search for an open station.

The bags covering empty pumps.

The 30-minute waits just to fill the tank.

Yet these recent annoyances may be giving us just a glimpse of the future.

Anyone who follows oil knows that there's only so much left. And some folks think we'll be out sooner than others do.

One of them is Kenneth Deffeyes, a professor emeritus in Princeton University's Geosciences Department and a well-known expert on matters of black gold.

In Beyond Oil, his book due out next year, Deffeyes claims that the peak of oil production will occur Thanksgiving Day 2005 -- give or take a few weeks. After that, production across the globe will decline.


At 11:43 PM, September 15, 2004, Blogger glyfi akureyri said...

Has Mr. Deffeyes published this prediction in any form? In "Hubbert's Peak" (2003), or in any popular or scientific journal after that?

I am trying to compare the various claims for early peak: the APSO Sept. 2004 newsletter predicts 2008.

Does anyone know of any way to analyze the competing claims? Or at least, explain to a layperson why they differ?

Feel free to email me at



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